The
rivalry between imperialist powers dividing the surface of the earth
between their various economic interests, led to open conflict
between 1914 and 1918. This reflected the limits of capitalist
development at that time, where the technology, technique and
organisation could no longer guarantee a sufficient market within the
borders of a single nation-state.
Although
the precise history of the war could have been changed, the fact of a
devastating war that covered the globe was an inevitable development
of the laws of capitalist development, of the endless competition,
the development of monopolies and cartels and the military
representation of those firms by the capitalist state.
The
war resulted in revolution across Europe, initially and successfully
in Russia, with a long period of revolutionary opportunities
stretching across the inter-war period. The existence of the Soviet
Union, although isolated and increasingly brutalised under the
bureaucracy of Stalin, nevertheless presented a challenge to the
capitalist world, especially when the limited post-war recovery fell
into slump after the 1929 stock market crash. International trade
contracted and nation-states retracted into themselves, or came to
rely increasingly on exploiting their colonies.
In
addition to the needs of imperialism to expand Fascist dictatorships
were established to subordinate the working-class completely to the
needs of capitalism. Nazism in Germany re-equipped the nation to
fight a second imperialist conflict against the rest of the
capitalist world, along with a crusade against the Soviet Union.
For
various reasons the Soviet Union was not defeated, and as the largest
land army in Europe at the time extended its social system across
much of Eastern Europe creating a buffer which was exploited to
reconstruct and reinvigorate (for a period) the crisis-ridden
Stalinist system. Europe emerged from the war utterly devastated.
European
governments with the support of America made a series of measures
aimed at preventing a revolutionary wave and curtailing the spread of
Stalinism across Europe. An injection of capital from the US, as well
as direct military occupation in the defeated countries, repression
of strikes and purges of Communists and other militants in the trade
unions took place alongside deflationary policies which hit wages
hard.
Capitalism
was saved in Europe, backed by the built up fortunes of the USA, but
not least because of the role of Stalinism. Communist parties in
France and Italy joined bourgeois governments and in Britain as well,
called for the restraint of strike action. Stalin's spheres of
influence, extending the grip of the bureaucracy, replaced
internationalism and the revolutionary opportunity that existed after
the second world war was squandered.
However
a stalemate existed between two social systems: a bureaucratically
planned economy versus American Capitalism. The co-operation which
began in the late 50's across Europe was aimed at competing with
these two continental economies of America and Russia. Barriers to
trade were reduced and the freer movement of certain traded items and
labour were put into place.
The
post war upswing kicked in after the Korean war. It was based on the
mass introduction of new technologies into industries, the
strengthening of the organised working-class guaranteeing wage rises
roughly in line with productivity allowing for an increased consumer
market, the exploitation of ex-colonial nations producing raw
materials, military and state spending on welfare, and widespread
reserves of labour.
The
world wars had shown capitalist development exploding through the barrier of the
nation-state. Europe was the main arena of these conflicts as the
oldest and most developed capitalist powers were there. The world
wars marked either their long-term decline or their defeat, as the
class struggle took on the form of a new world balance of forces
between America and Russia.
During
the period of significant economic upswing between the mid-50's and
early 70's, as was the case across the capitalist world, profits were
relatively higher and more stable due to the conditions of the boom.
This allowed temporary institutions of collective bargaining to be
established that provided the working-class with relatively higher
wages and conditions, as well as welfare programmes.
Likewise
the integration of European economies could develop to an extent
under this so-called 'golden age', but when conditions begin to
decline the process went into reverse. The global capitalist economy
went into crisis in the early 1970's opening a new period of class
struggle with the bourgeoisie attacking workers rights, wages and
public spending in order to replenish their lost profits.
The
idea of a common currency had been raised in the discussions which
followed the war. A common currency would allow for even greater
integration in terms of trade and would be backed by the economy of
an entire continent. This project was only pursued to completion in
the aftermath of the fall of the Berlin wall, the collapse of
Stalinism in Eastern Europe and Russia and the reunification of
Germany. In 1998 the Euro was launched, and put into place for the
initial Eurozone countries by 2002. a set of budgetary requirements
were demanded of countries aiming to join which were aimed at
lowering inflation and public spending at the expense of rising
unemployment.
At
the time Militant Labour/The Socialist Party did not expect monetary
union would even last long enough to be properly launched. Our reason
was the inability of capitalism to overcome the rivalries of the
nations in Europe. While a measure of sovereignty was handed to
Europe in the Treaty of Maastricht, no fiscal union was established.
This meant there was no way to balance between the very different
economies within the Eurozone.
Countries
with a surplus would not voluntarily hand those surpluses over to
nations in deficit, and no powers existed to make them do so. In
practice membership of the Eurozone and EU is a mechanism for the
reduction of workers wages, conditions and public services. The
budget guidelines that were implemented did not aim at redressing
this imbalance within the Eurozone but aimed to institutionalise
neo-liberalism, with the in effect rule that budget deficits could
not exceed 3%.
The
capitalist triumphalism that followed the end of the cold war had
worn off by this point and the global economy was teetering on the
edge of recession. However that recession was delayed for a period
(until 2007) by a colossal piling up of debts underpinning otherwise
exhausted consumer spending. These debts themselves formed a market
of sorts, and the newly deregulated finance sector went to town,
stacking up greater and greater problems for the recession that
eventually broke out from 2007 onwards.
The
single currency, with low interest rates to reflect the needs of the
strongest, export-led economies in the Eurozone offered little more
than cheap money for those nations without a significant export
sector. So, for example, the Spanish and Irish governments encouraged
a property bubble, and in countries like Greece huge debts were
amassed and then hidden with the help of banks including Goldman
Sachs. This debt burden prevented many Southern and Eastern European
economies from incurring more debt to contain the bank losses,
recapitalise the banks and initiate stimulus packages when the crisis
hit.
The
Eurozone crisis has reflected the inability of capitalism across
Europe to develop co-operation let alone integration. Steps taken in
this direction have started to go into reverse as a result of the
global economic crisis. Nevertheless the Eurozone project has lasted
longer than we expected, along with the global economy.
Greece
has emerged as the weakest link in the chain of the Eurozone. It
represents only 2% of European GDP and yet the fear of a Greek
default is rooted in the prospect of defaults of the larger nations
such as Spain and Italy, but also Portugal and Ireland. According to
recent analysis the domino effect of these so-called peripheral
economies defaulting and leaving the Eurozone would be 58% losses of
the value of European banks; effectively a wipe-out!
The
break up of the Eurozone would also have a significant impact on
trade, with Britain high on the list of most affected countries in
that scenario. Sudden losses across the banking sector could lead to
another seizing up of the credit system and in effect cause a second
recession in a not yet recovered global economy.
Efforts
have now been improvised to contain the debts in at-risk nation's
banks, with the new Treaty imposed through a fear campaign, handing
powers to the European Commission to fine countries attempting to
spend more than the markets will permit. The debts and bonds of at
risk economies have been bought up by the ECB and the newly formed
European Stability Mechanism, as well as a kind of Quantitative
Easing programme.
This
however does not solve the problem and transfers the risk to European
institutions. These purchases have not been offered to Greece, and
were resorted to when it was clear that bail-out funds, provided at
the cost of the hollowing out of the public sector and living
conditions of the working-class, would not work and could not be made
available to the larger economies of Spain and Italy.
All
of these measures, however, are not attempts to form a proper union
across Europe, merely an attempt to strengthen the powers that are
needed to force governments to pay for the crisis by attacking their
increasingly angry and militant working-class populations.
Belatedly
the bourgeoisie are recognising the limits of their project and
presenting them as the origins of the crisis. However it is the
inability of capitalism to - in a democratic, sustainable and fair
way - develop a European-wide (and global) economy that lies at the
heart of this contradiction. The hunt for growth in the global
economy has been ongoing since the break-down of the post-war
upswing, itself a unique period of time rooted in the sheer
destruction of global imperialist conflict and the balance between
world forces of two competing social systems (under the threat of
nuclear war).
That
hunt has turned 'running on the fumes' of the bloated credit system
into a growth model in itself, alongside the increasing exploitation
of the rest of the world and the haphazard industrialisation of
China. This world growth has accumulated massive problems for
capitalism globally, but the inability of each national ruling-class
to transcend the limits of the short-term profits of capitalism has
resulted in the tortuous scramble to prevent the unfolding of the
Eurozone crisis.
As
socialists we oppose the EU and the Eurozone because they are
institutions that intensify capitalist exploitation and the project
of Neo-Liberalism. Our opposition has nothing in common with 'Little
England' nationalism or xenophobia of the right-wing. We are in
favour of the integration of the European economy on the only basis
that it would be possible; a democratic plan of production under a
socialist society. In order to achieve that an important plank of our
programme is international solidarity with the European working-class
in the common struggle against capitalist oppression and the battle
for a socialist world.
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